By Erin Bromage (from blog) “It seems many people are breathing some relief, and I’m not sure why. An epidemic curve has a relatively predictable upslope and once the peak is reached, the back slope can also be predicted. We have robust data from the outbreaks in China and Italy, that shows the backside…
By Robert Reich Originally published in the Robert Reich blog Donald Trump is getting nervous. Internal polls show him losing in November unless the economy comes roaring back. But much of the American economy remains closed because of the pandemic. The number of infections and deaths continue to climb. Almost 3,000 Americans died last…
In some situations, antibody tests generate more false positives than real ones. It’s because of math. by Lucas Waldron and Nadia Sussman, ProPublica Many people across the country experienced COVID-19 symptoms but could not get a test to confirm if they actually had the virus. Now some are looking to a different kind of coronavirus test for…
Bert Ely, University of South Carolina and Taylor Carter, University of South Carolina Following the coronavirus’s spread through the population – and anticipating its next move – is an important part of the public health response to the new disease, especially since containment is our only defense so far. Just looking at an infected…
In the most detailed study to date of epidemic spread, researchers have modeled measles dynamics based on over 40 years of data collected in England and Wales. POSTED BY SAM SHOLTIS-PENN STATE (This article is reprinted in Sierra Voices Journal under the Attribution 4.0 International license). The models—which span the prevaccination period, introduction of measles…